Thursday, February 9, 2012

HOW IT STACKS UP ON PAPER

Here is how the projected State Meet scores out, based on the seedings on the psych sheet (it also includes diving seedings, based on a compilation of scores from the four Diving Regionals).  The teams in bold are teams Yorktown has already competed against during the 2011-12 season.

1. Carmel 300
2. Mt. Vernon (Posey) 196
3. Homestead 191
4. Munster 135
5. Fishers 131
6. Penn 128
7. Crown Point 117
8. Zionsville 114
9. Chesterton 105
10. Wawasee 99
11. Noblesville 98
12. Columbus North 76
13. Hamilton Southeastern 73
14.YORKTOWN 64
15. Westfield 62
16. Carroll (Ft. Wayne) 46
17. Center Grove 43
18. Lake Central 41
19. Bloomington South 40
20. Indianapolis North Central 30
21. Ft. Wayne Snider 29
22. Northridge 26
23. Brebeuf 23
24. Castle 19
25. Evansville Reitz 17
26. Valparaiso 15
27. tie, Avon and Franklin 14
29. Lawrence North 13
30. Danville 11
31. Mt. Vernon (Hancock) 10
32. tie, Plainfield and Vincennes Rivet 7
34. New Albany 4
35. Tell City 3
36. tie, Concord and SB St. Joseph's 2
38. tie, LaPorte and Terre Haute South 1

Of course, NO meet ever finishes the way it starts out on paper.  Individuals and teams perform differently in the biggest meet of the season than they have in the past--some better, some not as well.  That's the mystery that makes the State Meet so exciting!

Yorktown's 64 points would give the girls a 14th place finish in the team standings, YHS's best since the 2008 scored 30 points to finish in 16th place.  I believe that the 21st ranked Lady Tigers will score MORE than 64 points this weekend, with an outside shot of cracking the team Top 10 IF the girls all swim well on BOTH days.

A couple of interesting points to consider the day before the meet begins--presumed state champion Carmel doesn't have a single diver in the competition, and is projected to score NO points in the 50 Free (that will change on Friday and Saturday, the Greyhounds' Ariana Bullard and Rebecca Detro are too talented not to score).  Mt. Vernon (Posey) and Homestead should wage a war all day Saturday to determine which school will be State Runner-up.

And in the diving well, FOUR of the Top 5 seeds come out of the Fishers Sectional field--#1 seed Shelby Bartlett of Fishers, #3 seed Jaya Brown of Hamilton Southeastern, #4 seed Courtney Wilder of Hamilton Southeastern, and #5 seed Bethany Jones of Fishers.  Only #2 seed Meme Sharp of Noblesville managed to break that juggernaut.

Strap it on tight this weekend, this promises to be one of the BEST State Meets in the 38-year history of the IHSAA tournament in the sport.

GO TIGERS!

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